Eurobasket2017 Group B: Israel - Lithuania

photo: Fiba.com

Well if Lithuania lost accidentally to Georgia by losing control in late game the Israel had no discipline at all facing Italians. A bit pity Israel comes after 21 point lose game, being a hosts they cant make consecutive atrocious performances in 2 rounds. This is a minus on the gambling side, but technically Lithuanians can't 0/2 either. Isreal is much weaker in the paint. When Lithuania can play strech four with Kuzminskas and Motiejunas, Israel has Eliyahu who has weak body & can't shoot from the distance, Howel is 2.06 and Pnini is undersized limited veteran. If Lithuania has poor perimeter defenders on shooting guards and gonna have much trouble against Belineli & CO, Omri Casspi is the pure slowfootworking food to feed the Lion defence anchor Maciulis. Mekel can't shoot 3pt either and no matter Isreal will try to compensate their cons on playing fast I already did too much scouting in 5 mins, so I can't see any other scenario than in France-Greece game here. The only thing Israel here are superiour is emotions, home court advantage and their Sheba. Sometimes Lithuanians has psychological problems to finish games while having a double-digits, HT is good option to get max odds. 1.93 @ dafabet

Pick: Lithuania HT -3.50 (Pts HC) @ 1.81 Pinnacle 6/10